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2024-12-14 01:15:04

Reason one: the favorable expectations of the conference still exist, and it is difficult for the market to fall sharply under the stability. In fact, as I said in the morning post, expectations are always expectations, which are good in the medium and long term, but too strong short-term consistency can easily lead to a rebellious market. After all, this market is still driven by funds, otherwise it will be moderately relaxed in 11 years, and it will not be doubled after 14 years of wide credit!Look at the data first. The number of individual stocks in the two cities rose by 2,890, while the number of individual stocks fell by 2,280. Today, although the index opened higher and went lower, it collapsed, but individual stocks still rose more and fell less. Looking at the time-sharing handicap, today's opening is the climax, and the opening at 3490 is only 10 points away from the opening at 3500, which is another day in great escape.In terms of the performance of individual stocks and sectors, today's high opening and low going are not unexpected in terms of technology. After all, it is not a good thing to expect too much consensus. In addition, yesterday's news blockade was quite strict, but the net outflow of domestic institutions was as high as 70 billion, and they would not chase after the empty space, so it is understandable to wash the dishes today.


Look at the data first. The number of individual stocks in the two cities rose by 2,890, while the number of individual stocks fell by 2,280. Today, although the index opened higher and went lower, it collapsed, but individual stocks still rose more and fell less. Looking at the time-sharing handicap, today's opening is the climax, and the opening at 3490 is only 10 points away from the opening at 3500, which is another day in great escape.Yesterday, after-hours heavy meeting enlarged the move, Hong Kong stocks and A50 futures index rose violently, and even the mid-night stocks rose by more than 8%, and the market was full of fanatical voices. However, Lao Liu is still calm, suggesting that there is a high probability of going high and going low, and it should be dealt with by high throwing and low sucking. Today, the market opened higher and closed the false negative line, which once again verified my judgment. Will the stock market continue to fall tomorrow?Reason 3: the technical upward trend will not change, and it will continue to hit a new high after shock consolidation. Yesterday, Lao Liu suggested that it is necessary to do high-throwing and low-sucking treatment if it is too high and high-opening. The key is that the closing price cannot be higher than 3489.78 points. Now, to be honest, everything is just right. At present, the market is still standing above the 5-day line, and there is no structural pressure above it, which is also the technical basis for my small high point.


It's just that what Liu wants to say is that today, although the high opening and low walking have closed a big yinxian line, it is not the same as the situation on October 8. Here, the main force is still inclined to wash dishes, rather than the beginning of a new round of decline. So remind everyone that short-term stepping back here is still an opportunity, not a risk. The support around 3400 points is very strong. Don't panic!To sum up, the price trend contains all the information, so it is not suitable to accelerate directly here, and there is no basis for a big drop, so the next big probability is the time to oscillate and adjust the rhythm. Considering that the overall upward trend of the market index remains unchanged, it will continue to hit a new high after the shock, so we should take the initiative to pick up the chips thrown high on dips.A-shares: Washing dishes is fiercer than tigers. Will the stock market continue to fall tomorrow (December 11th)?

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